NYT reporting/David Carr:
Yes, competition is storming out of every device and connection, and
consumers have choices and leverage they never dreamed of. But network
television continues to waltz along, attracting advertisers in big
numbers. Cable had a great year, and media octopuses like Time Warner
and News Corporation continue to find plenty of profits. Big media
companies still rely on huge, well-entrenched assets that include
brands, distribution and capital.
But even if the sky is still aloft, there are visible, portentous cracks
appearing. The inertia that has kept consumers from bolting from
traditional content providers is beginning to erode as a new generation
remakes media in its own image. Device companies and search outfits are
intent on manufacturing their own content. And the migration of movies,
music and video to the cloud could change the weather in a hurry.
Even as some of the old truisms in media still obtain — content wears
the crown and strong brands break through clutter — a few new rules are
taking shape.
A SCREEN IS A SCREEN Steve Jobs taught us a bunch
before he exited, but one of his most current lessons could be the one
with the most far-reaching implications. Content has a price tag, which
is reassuring, but the old dividing lines between television, radio, Web
and print disappear within the four corners of a tablet. That means,
for instance, that CNBC and The Wall Street Journal are not in different
businesses anymore, and in fact The Journal is adding hours of live
video with each passing month. The BBC and Al Jazeera are no longer
regional curios, they’re here. Every cable channel with two nickels and
more than a few digital enterprises is financing the kind of narrative
television that used to be available only at a certain time on a certain
network.
NEW NETWORKS EVERY DAY On Christmas Day, a lot of
people took the ribbon off a Web-enabled flat-screen television, and now
the fight for real estate on all those enhanced television screens will
be fast and furious. Cable providers will try to keep people from
downloading the products of insurgent Web “broadcasters,” but they can’t
stop what’s coming. They will have to win by providing value that
trumps the now-infinite channel universe of the Web.
The $27 billion that traditional media just paid to the National
Football League is a hedge, not an answer. So-called virtual operators —
Netflix, Hulu, Amazon, Google and Apple — have none of the legacy or
infrastructure costs. Google has unleashed $100 million to seed new
programming on YouTube, and Netflix is financing a series by the
director David Fincher. That gaming device your children are playing
with? That too is a network in the making. Traditional networks and
cable providers have the content, but if they hold on too tight, they
will miss out on vast new avenues of distribution and revenue.
THE REMOTE AS BRICK The iPad
is a screen on your lap that makes it easy to navigate toward a
completely personal experience. That screen on your living room wall is
going to have to perform the same way to remain relevant. As it has in
many other areas of technology, the smartphone will point the way. Our
phones — and now tablets — are always on and poised for action...
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/26/business/media/rules-for-the-new-ways-of-watching-david-carr.html?pagewanted=all
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